Tuesday, December 16, 2014

2014 Media Predictions - What's Right and What's Wrong?

About one year ago, I made a list of predictions about how we would see the media transform in 2014. Here is an overview of what I got right and what I got wrong. Unfortunately, my track record wasn't the best but hopefully I have more luck in 2015!

1. BuzzFeed will be acquired. NOPE

2. New media will invest into the New York Times. YES! Vimeo partnered up with the New York Times to produce video together.

3. Bloomberg will consider selling it's TV network to go exclusively digital. NOPE!

4. CBS News will partner with Microsoft to launch digital network. NOPE! But CBS did launch a digital news network known as CBSN.

5. CBS will consolidate with another media company. NOPE!

6. Time Warner Cable will be sold to Comcast. YES! But it hasn't been approved yet.

7. Deadspin will be sold. NOPE!

8. Ann Curry will leave NBC. NOPE!

9. Democrats aim to start their own Fox News-type outlet with Bill Clinton as the star. NOPE!

10. ESPN uses Olbermann more. YES! He re-signed with the network and his segments air on SportsCenter.

11. Turner Sports will launch an 11pm sportscast on CNN. NOPE!

12. Piers Morgan changes timeslots, Bill Weir moves into primetime. YES/NO - Piers Morgan was cancelled but Weir will be airing a show in primetime in 2015

13. George Stephanopoulos talks to CNN about replacing Wolf Blitzer as it's new face. NOPE!

14. Josh Elliott, Lara Spencer, Robin Roberts will all re-sign with GMA. 2/3rds of the way correct. Elliott left ABC to join NBC.

15. "Today" will take over again as the top morning show. NOPE!

16. Natalie Morales will leave "Today". Tamron Hall will replace her while Robin Meade will also join NBC News. NOPE! But rumors circulated about this happening all year and a new boss considered these moves until he was fired (Jamie Horowitz).

17. Fox will look at changing strategy of MyNetTV. NOPE! Fox acquired the off-network rights to "The Walking Dead" for MNT.

18. Another sports TV network will launch. YES! Back9Network launched on DirecTV and Fantasy Sports Network launched on Cablevision in New York.

19. Chris Fowler named as replacement to Brent Musburger, renews as host of College Gameday. YES!

20. Dan Patrick moves to NBC Sports Radio, Yahoo Sports ends partnership with Gow Broadcasting. NOPE!

21. NBA rights - ESPN and TNT split NBA Finals, keep their respective nights. FS1 acquires 20-30 game slate from RSNs. ABC keeps XMas games, occasional Sunday game/playoff game. Some online broadcasts on Bleacher Report/YouTube. YES/NO. ESPN/TNT are not splitting Finals (ABC has them), ESPN/TNT did keep respective nights, FS1 did not acquire 20-30 games, ABC did keep XMas games/Sundays/playoffs, Bleacher Report did get extended rights but ESPN got extra exclusive online games for a new OTT network.

22. NFL Thursday night games - NBCSN or Turner. NOPE!

23. Big Ten rights - ESPN and Fox. NOPE! Rights haven't been sold yet

24. MLS rights - NBC and ESPN. NOPE! ESPN/Fox/Univision 

25. Howard Stern will consider launching his own TV network NOPE!

26. IHeartRadio will partner with AXS.TV to broadcast concerts live. NOPE!

27. Viacom will try to convince Nick Cannon to launch a modern day UPN to replace "VH1 Soul", known possibly as "NCredible Network". It'll serve as BET for a younger demographic. YES/NO. Cannon signed a contract with NBCUniversal to produce and host shows for them but he will continue contributing to Viacom through TeenNick and MTV2's "Wild N'Out." Cannon will be launching his own network via his own app on his own tablet brand in 2015 which will be known as "NCredible Network."

28. Fox will not renew "The X-Factor". It will become an online-focused competition on YouTube with a televised finale. NOPE! Cowell did launch an online competition show but it wasn't associated with X-Factor

29. This year will mark the last season of "Keeping Up With The Kardashians" NOPE!

30. CBS will buy AMC Networks. NOPE!

31. Discovery and Scripps will merge. NOPE!

32. Netflix and Hulu will be available on set-top cable boxes. YES!

33. Starz will be sold. NOPE!

34. DirecTV and Dish Network will merge. NOPE!

35. Aereo will win in the Supreme Court, broadcast networks will bluff on moving to cable-exclusivity.
NOPE! Broadcast networks won

36. Katie Couric will replace Barbara Walters on "The View", while her daytime show will finally get cancelled. YES/NO! Couric's show was cancelled but she signed with Yahoo. 

37. Tim Tebow will become the face of the SEC Network and the SEC Network will have one of the best rated launches in cable history. YES/NO We don't know SEC Network's ratings because it is unrated.

38. Jay Leno will take a break and then choose between a CNN weekly talk show or a daily show on Fox in the Fall of 2014. NOPE!

39. Changes will happen at "New Day". NOPE!

40. Michelle Beadle will move on from NBC Sports while continuing at Access Hollywood. YES/NO. Beadle left NBC to re-join ESPN

41. Ryan Seacrest will accept another full-time job, will depart "American Idol" YES! He hosted a fashion show for CBS

42. NBC Sports will consider buying Sports Illustrated OR will further develop their partnership while also keeping their deal with Yahoo Sports. NOPE!

43. Sinclair will be approved as the new owner of WJLA-TV and NC8 but will be forced to sell other stations. YES!

44. More scripted shows are coming. YES!

45. ESPN is slowly going to take over ABC. YES! Tony Reali joined "GMA," ESPN personalities such as Jay Williams contributed and hosted ABC News' online shows, Hannah Storm served as a correspondent on 20/20, ABC and ESPN are teaming up for a new Father's Day promotion, ESPN personalities contributed to Fusion's World Cup coverage

46. Robin Meade to CNN. NOPE!

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